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How Google’s New AI Overviews Are Eating At Your Ad Revenues — And What You Can Do To Fight Back


A publishing team reviewing traffic and revenue figures together

With every passing day, with every passing search, Google’s AI Overviews feature is becoming an ever-present part of our lives.

For regular users, it is an added convenience. For publishers, it is an existential threat. With this move, Google has officially transitioned from a search engine that redirects traffic to an AI hub aiming to keep users on its own properties. As a result, it now captures 90% of total ad revenue across the open web, leaving only 10% to be divided among every publisher, newsletter and content platform operating outside its structures.

We are now firmly in the midst of the ‘zero-click era’, and the fallout has been far-reaching.

The publishers already losing revenue

Reported declines since AI Overviews rolled out

HUBSPOTSTEREOGUMBUSINESS INSIDERHUFFINGTON POSTFORBESCNN 70–80%70%55%40–50%40–50%27–38% Bars are not one metric: each publisher reported a different measure, listed in full below.
Publishers affected by Google’s AI Overviews
PublisherReported impact
Business Insider55% drop in organic search traffic
Huffington PostAd losses exceeding 40–50%
ForbesAd losses exceeding 40–50%
CNN27–38% decline in traffic
HubSpot70–80% loss of search traffic
Stereogum70% loss of total ad revenue

The zero-click era has birthed two diametrically opposite camps

Attempts to fight back have seen publishers adopt a wide range of strategies — some of which sit at completely different ends of the spectrum.

The blockers

Frustrated by these models extracting content without sending traffic back or paying for it, a growing number of publishers are choosing to block AI web crawlers from accessing their content entirely.

  • The New York Times has blocked GPTBot from accessing its content.
  • Condé Nast and Vox have updated robots.txt files to restrict crawlers following the rollout of AI Overviews.

The licensors

These are publishers that have realised that if AI companies are going to use their content regardless, they might as well get paid for it. These licensing deals have created a revenue category that did not exist a couple of years ago.

  • Axios, The Guardian and The Washington Post signed deals with ChatGPT to display quotes and summaries with links back to original reporting.
  • Meta has signed licensing deals with publishers including CNN, Fox News and USA Today.

Each side, however, has its drawbacks. Models are still getting through the measures set by the blockers, and the revenue gained from licensing deals has not offset the revenue lost from Google’s pivot into an AI hub. For publishers seeking a realistic, robust strategy in between these two extremes, this is the framework we prescribe.

CDX’s three ‘I’s to maximise revenue in today’s zero-click era

Stage 1Infiltrate the algorithm

Become one of the sources AI Overviews cites, rather than one of the pages it replaces.

Stage 2Interest the audience

Convert high-intent arrivals into a direct relationship you own.

Stage 3Identify revenue opportunities

Turn known subscribers into revenue with dynamic, behaviour-led paywalls.

This framework enables you to fight back by taking the value that currently resides at Google and redirecting it to your own properties.

Stage 1: Infiltrate the algorithm

Google Search’s new direction may make it seem like an impenetrable wall. We can tell you that it is not — in fact, it is a door with a very specific set of keys required to open it. AI Overviews needs to get its information from somewhere, and it directly cites the websites used to create its summaries. Your goal as a digital publisher should be to get your website there: brands cited inside an AI Overview earn 35% more organic clicks than brands ranking in the organic results below it.

To get there, you must create content that answers both of these questions with a resounding yes.

“If AI Overviews summarised this topic without the article I am writing, would anything important be missing?”

“Is this article structurally optimised to be machine readable by AI?”

The algorithm rewards the delta

  • New, fresh perspectives
  • In-house research and statistics
  • Unique, original frameworks
  • Locally relevant information

Structures AI models prefer

  • Top-heavy approaches: 55% of AI Overview citations come from the top 30% of a page.
  • Highly cited schema: publisher names, dates, tables of contents, a mix of text and media.
  • FAQs: the schema most picked up by AI — pages with it have a 3.2x greater chance of being cited.

Stage 2: Interest the audience

When users click through from an AI Overview citation, they arrive with high intent. Because AI has pre-qualified these visitors, there is a 4.4x higher conversion rate for AI-referred traffic compared to traditional organic search traffic.

Now that they are here, your content must work its magic. Compelling messaging combined with impeccable page performance keeps a reader on the page for longer. After that, the goal is a seamless mechanism that lets them move around your properties and ultimately converts them into a direct relationship — one where you can use email, apps and newsletters to keep them coming back.

CDX’s in-depth insights on the zero-click era

Looking to stay informed on the latest developments in the world of digital content?

Stage 3: Identify revenue opportunities

Now for the final piece of the puzzle — officially converting Google’s revenues into yours. Many publishers already have structures in place when it comes to subscription plans: three free articles after registering with an email ID, then daily, weekly and monthly subscriptions for visitors with starting-level interest, then yearly subscriptions for those with concrete interest.

Even if you are not charging for the first few articles, setting up a registration wall that captures an email address from the outset is highly beneficial. With it, you immediately convert an unknown visitor into a known subscriber.

$0.23

Revenue per thousand visits from a one-off anonymous visitor

$25.52

Revenue per thousand visits from a highly engaged, known subscriber — a 110x difference

Once they are known, this is where you can use AI yourself to monetise their interest. Many publishers are seeing big benefits from dynamic paywalls that use real-time behavioural data to personalise when and how subscription prompts appear.

The publishers benefiting from dynamic paywalls
PublisherResult
The TelegraphDaily subscriber acquisition tripled when the paywall required an email ID to access one premium article per week
El Mundo5x more sign-ups, a 60.4% increase in subscription conversions and 50.7% revenue growth
The Post and Courier57% increase in paywall revenue after switching to a dynamic approach

Let us talk

Prime your website for the zero-click era.

Optimising each of these three stages takes a cohesive strategy spanning content quality, AI optimisation, page performance and dynamic paywall structures — all of which CDX specialises in.

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